Tun daga shekarar 2025, kasuwar sulfur ta cikin gida ta fuskanci hauhawar farashi mai tsanani, inda farashin ya tashi daga kimanin yuan 1,500 a kowace tan a farkon shekarar zuwa sama da yuan 3,800 a kowace tan a halin yanzu, karuwar sama da kashi 100%, wanda ya kai wani sabon matsayi a cikin 'yan shekarun nan. A matsayin muhimmin kayan sinadarai, hauhawar farashin sulfur ya shafi sarkar masana'antu ta ƙasa, kumasulfur dioxidekasuwa, wacce ke amfani da sulfur a matsayin babban kayanta, tana fuskantar matsin lamba mai yawa a farashi. Babban abin da ke haifar da wannan zagayen hauhawar farashi ya samo asali ne daga rashin daidaito tsakanin wadata da buƙata a kasuwar sulfur ta duniya.

Ci gaba da raguwar wadatar kayayyaki ta ƙasashen duniya ya ƙara ta'azzara gibin samar da kayayyaki saboda dalilai da dama.

Samar da sinadarin sulfur a duniya ya dogara sosai kan kayayyakin da ake sarrafawa daga mai da iskar gas. Jimillar samar da sinadarin sulfur a duniya a shekarar 2024 ya kai kimanin tan miliyan 80.7, amma wadatarsa ​​ta ragu sosai a wannan shekarar. Gabas ta Tsakiya ita ce babbar mai samar da kayayyaki a duniya, wadda ta kai kashi 32%, amma albarkatunta sun fi mayar da hankali ne kan samar da kayayyaki ga kasuwannin da ke tasowa kamar Indonesia, wanda hakan ke takaita samuwarsa ga kasuwar kasar Sin.

Rasha, wacce ta daɗe tana fitar da sinadarin sulfur, ta taɓa samar da kashi 15%-20% na yawan samar da man fetur a duniya. Duk da haka, saboda rikicin Rasha da Ukraine, kwanciyar hankalin ayyukan matatun mai ya ragu sosai, inda kusan kashi 40% na yawan samar da man fetur ya shafa. Fitar da man fetur daga waje ya ragu daga kimanin tan miliyan 3.7 a kowace shekara kafin 2022 zuwa kimanin tan miliyan 1.5 a 2023. A farkon watan Nuwamba na 2025, an sanya dokar hana fitar da man fetur, wadda ta haramta fitar da man fetur zuwa ga ƙungiyoyi a wajen EU har zuwa ƙarshen shekara, wanda hakan ya ƙara katse wasu hanyoyin samar da kayayyaki na ƙasashen duniya.

Bugu da ƙari, rungumar sabbin hanyoyin samar da makamashi ya haifar da raguwar amfani da hanyoyin samar da makamashi na gargajiya kamar fetur da dizal. Tare da aiwatar da yarjejeniyar rage yawan samar da man fetur da kasashen da ke samar da mai na OPEC+ suka yi, karuwar yawan sarrafa mai da iskar gas na duniya ya tsaya cak, kuma karuwar yawan samar da kayayyakin da aka samar daga sulfur ya ragu sosai. A halin yanzu, wasu matatun mai a Tsakiyar Asiya sun rage yawan fitar da su sosai saboda kulawa ko raguwar ajiyar da ake da su, wanda hakan ya kara fadada gibin samar da kayayyaki a duniya.

Bukatar ƙasashen duniya na ƙaruwa

Duk da cewa wadatar da ake samu tana raguwa, buƙatar sulfur ta ƙasa da ƙasa na nuna ci gaban tsarin. Indonesia, a matsayin yankin da ake ƙara buƙatar mai, tana da buƙatar sulfur mai ƙarfi daga ayyukan narkar da nickel-cobalt (wanda ake amfani da shi don samar da kayan batir) ta kamfanonin gida kamar Tsingshan da Huayou. Ana sa ran yawan buƙatar zai wuce tan miliyan 7 daga 2025 zuwa 2027. Tan ɗaya na samar da nickel yana buƙatar tan 10 na sulfur, wanda hakan ke shafar wadatar da ake samu a duniya sosai.

Bukatar da ake da ita a fannin noma ita ma tana ba da tallafi. Bukatar takin phosphate a duniya tana da ƙarfi a lokacin shukar bazara, yayin da sulfur ke samar da kusan kashi 52.75% na samar da takin phosphate, wanda hakan ke ƙara ta'azzara rashin daidaiton wadata da buƙata a kasuwar sulfur ta duniya.

Kasuwar sulfur dioxide tana fuskantar barazana sakamakon yaduwar farashi

Sulfur shine babban kayan da ake amfani da shi wajen samar da kayayyakisulfur dioxideKimanin kashi 60% na ƙarfin samar da sinadarin sulfur dioxide na ruwa a China yana amfani da hanyoyin samar da sinadarin sulfur. Riɓin farashin sulfur ya ƙara farashin samar da shi kai tsaye.

Hasashen Kasuwa: Farashi Mai Yawa Ba Zai Canja Ba A Cikin Gajeren Lokaci

Idan aka yi la'akari da shekarar 2026, rashin daidaiton wadatar kayayyaki da buƙatun da ake da su a kasuwar sulfur ba zai inganta ba. Sabbin ƙarfin samar da kayayyaki na ƙasashen duniya yana raguwa. Masu sharhi sun yi hasashen cewa, a cikin yanayi mai kyau, farashin sulfur zai iya wuce yuan 5,000 a kowace tan a shekarar 2026.

Sakamakon haka,sulfur dioxidekasuwa na iya ci gaba da samun ci gaba mai matsakaicin girma. Tare da ƙarin tsauraran manufofin muhalli,sulfur dioxideMasu samar da kayayyaki masu fa'ida a cikin tsarin tattalin arziki mai zagaye da hanyoyin madadin za su sami fa'ida mai kyau, kuma ana sa ran yawan masana'antu zai ƙara ƙaruwa. Canje-canje na dogon lokaci a cikin tsarin buƙatar samar da sulfur na duniya zai ci gaba da yin tasiri ga farashi da yanayin gasa na dukkan sarkar masana'antu.

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